It is said that the war in Iraq has ended. It would be truly good if that were the end of it, but is it really so?
According to a book I read describing conventional patterns in modern warfare, the usual response to an invasion is said to be:
(1) Surrender without bloodshed: the invading side does not undertake a reckless attack in the first place.
It attacks with overwhelming force of at least 3 times the defender’s strength, so resistance is futile.
(2) Under occupation, citizens gradually carry out separate attacks on small groups.
That is what the book says. If the “elite” had been in hiding from the outset with the aim of (2)… There seem to have been such instructions, and news of assassinations and suicide attacks has begun to arrive, so I am concerned.
Incidentally, the people pulling down the statue really were very few in number. Today, I was surprised when I first saw footage with the camera pulled back. How easy it is to tell lies on television. I was completely deceived. I also heard commentary saying, “The people pulling down the statue were from the Hussein regime side; how quickly they changed,” but I wonder whether that is really so.
Of course, there is an argument that regular troops serve the government of the day, so it is natural for them to change completely when a war ends. Because this is so ordinary, the reference book mentioned above seems to say that unless a country can secure enough overwhelming force to deter an invasion, it would be better not to have regular ground forces. The reasons are said to be:
(A) They want to fight on their own territory, sacrificing residents.
(B) Once the country loses, they rapidly change and become part of the oppressor, or occupier, side.
(C) They make the foregoing (2) more difficult, because the number of people on the occupying side increases.
The military serves the regime, not the people. This is said to be true not only of Iraq but of any country.
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